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Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

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Author Info
Alessandro Flamini () (IUHEI, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva)

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Abstract

This paper analyzes how endogenous imperfect exchange rate pass-through affects inflation targeting optimal monetary policies in a New Keynesian small open economy. The paper shows that an inverse relation exists between the pass-through and the insulation of the economy from foreign and monetary policy shocks, and that imperfect pass-through tends to decrease the variability of the terms of trade. Furthermore, with CPI inflation targeting, in the short run, delayed pass-through constrains monetary policy more than incomplete pass-through and interest rate smoothing amplifies this effect. When the pass-through decreases, the variability in economic activity tends to raise and the trade-of between the stabilization of CPI inflation and output worsens in direct relation to how strictly the central bank is targeting CPI inflation. In contrast, with domestic inflation targeting, optimal monetary policy is not constrained and opposite results occur. Consequently, imperfect pass-through favors the choice of domestic to CPI inflation targeting.

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Paper provided by Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies in its series HEI Working Papers with number 04-2004.

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Length: 37
Date of creation: 15 Jun 2004
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Handle: RePEc:gii:giihei:heiwp04-2004

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Keywords: Inflation Targeting; Exchange Rate Pass-through; Open-Economy; Direct Exchange Rate Channel; Optimal Monetary Policy.;

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  4. Paul Krugman, 1986. "Pricing to Market when the Exchange Rate Changes," NBER Working Papers 1926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Michael B. Devereux & Philip Lane, 2001. "Exchange Rates and Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies," CEG Working Papers 20017, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  6. José Manuel Campa & Linda S. Goldberg, 2005. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through into Import Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 679-690, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Maurice Obstfeld & Kenneth Rogoff, 1999. "New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models," NBER Working Papers 7313, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2002. "A theory of the currency denomination of international trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 747, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  9. Engel, Charles, 2002. "The Responsiveness of Consumer Prices to Exchange Rates: A Synthesis of Some New Open Economy Macro Models," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 70(0), pages 1-15, Supplemen. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 2002. "A Simple Framework for International Monetary Policy Analysis," NBER Working Papers 8870, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Gilles Oudiz & Jeffrey Sachs, 1985. "International Policy Coordination In Dynamic Macroeconomic Models," NBER Chapters, in: International Economic Policy Coordination, pages 274-330 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  13. Bacchetta, Philippe & van Wincoop, Eric, 2002. "A Theory of Currency Denomination of International Trade," CEPR Discussion Papers 3120, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Philip R. Lane & Giovanni Ganelli, 2002. "Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis: The Open Economy Dimension," Trinity Economics Papers 200212, Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  15. Backus, David & Driffill, John, 1986. "The Consistency of Optimal Policy in Stochastic Rational Expectations Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 124, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Amit Kara & Edward Nelson, 2002. "The Exchange Rate and Inflation in the UK," Discussion Papers 11, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
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  17. Ryan Banerjee & Nicoletta Batini, 2003. "UK Consumers’ Habits," Discussion Papers 13, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  18. Sven W. Arndt & J. David Richardson, 1988. "Real-Financial Linkages Among Open Economies," NBER Working Papers 2230, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  20. Michael B. Devereux & Charles Engel, 2001. "Endogenous Currency of Price Setting in a Dynamic Open Economy Model," NBER Working Papers 8559, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Taylor, John B., 2000. "Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1389-1408, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  22. Dalia Hakura & Ehsan U. Choudhri, 2001. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Domestic Prices: Does the Inflationary Environment Matter?," IMF Working Papers 01/194, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Oxana Babetskaia-Kukharchuk, 2007. "Transmission of Exchange Rate Shocks into Domestic Inflation: The Case of the Czech Republic," Working Papers 2007/12, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Mette Ersbak Bang Nielsen, 2006. "Exchange Rate Targeting in a Small Open Economy," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002685, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Abo-Zaid, Salem, 2009. "Sticky Wages, Incomplete Pass-Through and Inflation Targeting: What is the Right Index to Target?," MPRA Paper 13177, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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