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An Assessment of the Quality of Subjective Probability Judgements in a Naturalistic Setting

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Author Info
Alistair, B.
Johnson
J.E.V.
Abstract

The objective of this paper is to explore the extent to which human judgement and resultant decision-making in a natural setting reflects the performance characteristics suggested by experimental work. in order to explore the quality of decisions made in a natural setting, an analysis is undertaken of bets placed on 19 396 hoeses in the UK parimutuel betting market.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Southampton - Department of Accounting and Management Science in its series Papers with number 99-146.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:sotoam:99-146

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Postal: University of Southampton, Department of Accounting & Mangement Science, Southampton S09 5NH UK.
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Fax: 44 0173 593858
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Web page: http://www.soton.ac.uk/~econweb/
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Related research
Keywords: DECISION MAKING ; PROBABILITY ; BEHAVIOUR;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search, Learning, and Information
D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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