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Toward an Explanation of the Favourite-Longshot Bias: A Decision-Making Perspective

Author

Listed:
  • Alistair, B.
  • Johnson
  • J.E.V.

Abstract

This paper seeks to offer new insights into the behavioral origins of the 'favourite-longshot' bias- an established feature of betting markets, whereby longshots win less often than the subjective probabilities imply and favourites more often. This study analyses a new data source which offers detailed information for a large sample of recent UK horseraces on decision-making behavior within the parimutuel and the parallel bookmaker-based betting markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Alistair, B. & Johnson & J.E.V., 1999. "Toward an Explanation of the Favourite-Longshot Bias: A Decision-Making Perspective," Papers 99-145, University of Southampton - Department of Accounting and Management Science.
  • Handle: RePEc:fth:sotoam:99-145
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Les Coleman, 2004. "New light on the longshot bias," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(4), pages 315-326.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    BEHAVIOUR ; DECISION MAKING ; GAMBLING;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D60 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - General

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