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How Does Uncertainty Over Future Environmental Policy Affect Investment Decisions in Transition Economies?

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Author Info
Larson, B.A.
Abstract

A firm-level sequential investment model is developed to analyze how uncertainty about environmental policies in the future affects current investment decisions. Three specific policies are considered -- a pollution tax, an investment credit in the presence of liquidity constraints, and a pollution standard. Using a location-scale framework for expectations, the analysis shows how expectations about the future policy (i.e. the mean and variance of the future tax, credit, or standard) affect current investment decisions.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Harvard - Institute for International Development in its series Papers with number 623.

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Length: 41 pages
Date of creation: 1998
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:harvid:623

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Related research
Keywords: INVESTMENTS ; UNCERTAINTY ; ENVIRONMENT;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q28 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Government Policy
Q2 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
D92 - Microeconomics - - Intertemporal Choice and Growth - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice and Growth, Investment, or Financing
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity

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