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GARCH Model of Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty with Simultaneous Feedback Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Fountas, S.
Karanasos, M.
Karanassou, M.
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We examine the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty using a GARCH model that allows for simultaneous feedback between the conditional mean and variance of inflation. We also derive a number of theoretical econometric results and illustrate the relevance of these results with an empirical example of the US monthly inflation process.
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Paper provided by National University of Ireland, Galway - Department of Economics in its series Department of Economics with number
47.
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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: 2000Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:galeco:47Contact details of provider: Postal: National University of Ireland, Galway - Department of Economics. Phone: +353-91 524411 ext. 2501 Fax: +353-91 524130 Web page: http://economics.nuigalway.ie/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Thomas Krichel).
Keywords: INFLATION ; ECONOMIC MODELS ; ECONOMETRICS ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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"Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model ,"
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Campbell, John Y. & Hentschel, Ludger, 1992.
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Other versions: Fischer, Stanley, 1981.
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Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy ,
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Karanasos, Menelaos, 1999.
"The second moment and the autocovariance function of the squared errors of the GARCH model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
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Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993.
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Staff Report
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Other versions: Evans, Martin, 1991.
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Hansson, Bjorn & Hordahl, Peter, 1997.
" Changing Risk Premia: Evidence from a Small Open Economy ,"
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Caporale, Tony & McKiernan, Barbara, 1996.
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Hall, S G, 1991.
"An Application of the Stochastic GARCH-in-Mean Model to Risk Premia in the London Metal Exchange ,"
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Black, Angela & Fraser, Patricia, 1995.
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The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies ,
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Engle, Robert F & Lilien, David M & Robins, Russell P, 1987.
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Ball, Laurence, 1992.
"Why does high inflation raise inflation uncertainty? ,"
Journal of Monetary Economics ,
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Other versions: Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
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Davis, George K & Kanago, Bryce E, 2000.
"The Level and Uncertainty of Inflation: Results from OECD Forecasts ,"
Economic Inquiry ,
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Fraser, Patricia, 1996.
"UK Excess Share Returns: Firm Size and Volatility ,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy ,
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Engle, Robert F, 1983.
"Estimates of the Variance of U.S. Inflation Based upon the ARCH Model ,"
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Stilianos Fountas & Alexandra Ioannidis & Menelaos Karanasos, 2004.
"Inflation, inflation uncertainty, and a common European Monetary Policy ,"
Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003
30, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Menelaos Karanasos, .
"Some Exact Formulae for the Constant Correlation and Diagonal M - Garch Models ,"
Discussion Papers
00/14, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Matteo Barigozzi & Marco Capasso, 2007.
"A Multivariate Perspective for Modeling and Forecasting Inflation's Conditional Mean and Variance ,"
LEM Papers Series
2007/21, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
[Downloadable!]
Menelaos Karanasos & J. Kim, .
"Moments of the ARMA-EGARCH Model ,"
Discussion Papers
00/29, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: A. Kontonikas, 2002.
"Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the United Kingdom: Evidence from GARCH modelling ,"
Economics and Finance Discussion Papers
02-28, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
A. Kontonikas, 2002.
"Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the United Kingdom: Evidence from GARCH modelling ,"
Public Policy Discussion Papers
02-28, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University.
[Downloadable!] Kontonikas, A., 2004.
"Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the United Kingdom, evidence from GARCH modelling ,"
Economic Modelling ,
Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 525-543, May.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Menelaos Karanasos & J. Kim, .
"Alternative GARCH in Mean Models: An Application to the Korean Stock Market ,"
Discussion Papers
00/25, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Menelaos Karanasos, .
"The Covariance Structure of Mixed ARMA Models ,"
Discussion Papers
00/11, Department of Economics, University of York.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Carmen Broto & Esther Ruiz, 2008.
"Testing for conditional heteroscedasticity in the components of inflation ,"
Banco de España Working Papers
0812, Banco de España.
[Downloadable!]
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