This paper draws on data from 73 UK Monopolies and Mergers Commission reports on monopoly between 1973 and 1995. It shows that there is a roughly two in three chance that the Commission will come to an adverse conclusion against the investigated firms in a given case. although the underlying philosophy of UK policy in this area has always been based on a case-by-case approach (in which precedent plays little part), the model demonstrates that a significant majority of MMC decisions are predictable using a very simple probit model, based on standard, readily observable characteristics. Specifically, 75-80% of decisions can be explained purely in terms of the market share of the leading firm (but not those f the second and third ranked firms), and knowledge of the broad nature of the alleged anti-competitive practice. An adverse finding is most likely in cases involving exclusive dealing, and least likely where other vertical restraints are involved.
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Length: 25 pages Date of creation: 1998 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:fth:eanerc:9808
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Find related papers by JEL classification: L40 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - General
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