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A Microeconometric Test of Alternative Stochastic Theories of Risky Choice

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Author Info
Loomes, G.
Moffatt, P.G.
Sugden, R.

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Abstract

We compare the random preference, Fechner, and constant error (or "tremble") approaches to the stochastic modelling of choice under risk. Various combinations of these approaches are used with expected utility and rank-dependent theory to generate a set of econometric models. These are estimated in a random effects framework using experimental data from two samples of 46 subjects who each faced 90 pairwise choice problems. The best fitting model uses the random preferences approach with an added tremble mechanism, in conjunction with rank-dependent theory. As subject gain experience, trembles become less frequent and there is less deviation from expected utility theory.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Economics Research Centre, University of East Anglia, School of Economics and Social Studies in its series University of East Anglia - Economics Research Centre with number 9806.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: 1998
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:eanerc:9806

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Related research
Keywords: STOCHASTIC MODELS ; RISK ; EXPERIMENTS ; ECONOMETRICS;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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