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The Seasonal Adjustment of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices for the Euro Area: a Comparaison of Derect and Indirect Methods

Author

Listed:
  • Cristadoro, R.
  • Sabbatini, R.

Abstract

In this paper we analyse the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices, which plays a key role in conduct of monetary policy in the euro area. Knowledge of the characteristics of the short-term evolution of consumer prices for each country and for their average is important for better monitoring and forecasting of inflation in the euro area. In this paper we seek to verify to what extent the short-term variability of HICPs can be explained by regular infra-year movements which we then attempt to estimate. We find evidence that seasonal movements characterise most price series, though some differences arise across countries and sub-indices.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristadoro, R. & Sabbatini, R., 2000. "The Seasonal Adjustment of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices for the Euro Area: a Comparaison of Derect and Indirect Methods," Papers 371, Banca Italia - Servizio di Studi.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:banita:371
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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Astolfi & Dominique Ladiray & Gian Luigi Mazzi, 2001. "Business Cycle Extraction of Euro-Zone GDP: Direct versus Indirect Approach," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(3), pages 377-398.
    2. Meltem Gulenay Ongan, 2002. "The Seasonal Adjustment of the Consumer and Wholesale Prices : a Comparison of Census X-11, X-12 Arima and Tramo/Seats," Working Papers 0205, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    PRICES ; INFLATION ; SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General
    • D41 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Perfect Competition

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