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The Tail Behavior of Sotck Returns: Emerging Versus Mature Markets

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Author Info
Jondeau, E.
Rockinger, M.

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Abstract

In the following paper the authors start with a review of theoretical elements of extreme value theory (evt). In the empirical section of this study they consider five mature markets, nine Asian, six Eastern European, and seven Latin American emerging markets. The tail-behavior of returns is found to be compatible with the existence of up to the third moment but not beyond. Using a subsample of countries they also demonstrate the limitations of evt. Finally they show that little can be learned from 19th century US data about presently emerging markets' tail behavior.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banque de France - Direction Generale des Etudes in its series Papers with number 66.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:banfra:66

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Postal: Banque de France, Direction Generale des Etudes, Centre de Recherche. B.P. 140-01 75049 Paris Cedex 01, France.
Web page: http://www.banque-france.fr/
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Related research
Keywords: STOCK MARKET ESTIMATOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models
G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
O16 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment

Cited by:
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  1. Niklas Wagner & Terry Marsh, 2000. "Return-Volume Dependence and Extremes in International Equity Markets," Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series 1002, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Niklas Wagner & Terry Marsh, 2003. "Measuring Tail Thickness under GARCH and an Application to Extremal Exchange Rate Changes," Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series 1012, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Niklas Wagner & Terry Marsh, 2000. "On Adaptive Tail Index Estimation for Financial Return Models," Research Program in Finance, Working Paper Series 1000, Research Program in Finance, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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