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A Revival of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model in Estimating Energy Demand Relationships

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Author Info
Bentzen, J.
Engsted, T.

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Abstract

The findings in the recent energy economic literature that energy economic variables are non-stationary, heve led to an implicit or explicit dismissal of the standard autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in estimating energy demand relationships. However, Pesaran and Shin (1997) show that the ARDL model remains valid when the underlying variables are non-stationary, provided the variables are cointegrated. In this paper we use the ARDL approach to estimated a demand relationship for Danish residential energy consumption, and the ARDL estimates are compared to the estimates obtained using cointegration techniques and error-correction models (ECMs). It turns out that both quantitavely and qualitatively, the ARDL approach and the cointegration/ECM approach give very similar results.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Aarhus School of Business - Department of Economics in its series Papers with number 99-7.

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Length: 15 pages
Date of creation: 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:fth:aascbu:99-7

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Postal: Department of Economics, Faculty of Business Administration. The Aarhus School of Business. Fuglesangs Alle 4. DK- 8210 Aarhus V - Denmark
Phone: +45 89 486396
Fax: +45 8615 5175
Web page: http://www.asb.dk/about/departments/nat.aspx
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Related research
Keywords: ENERGY ; ECONOMIC MODELS ; ECONOMETRICS;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply

Cited by:
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  1. Theodoros Zachariadis & Nicoletta Pashourtidou, 2006. "An Empirical analysis of electricity consumption in Cyprus," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 4-2006, University of Cyprus Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Andrea Bigano & Francesco Bosello & Giuseppe Marano, 2006. "Energy Demand and Temperature: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Working Papers 2006.112, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei. [Downloadable!]
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