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Working Paper 05-12 - The methodology developed by the Federal Planning Bureau to produce long-term scenarios

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  • Nicole Fasquelle
  • Koen Hendrickx
  • Christophe Joyeux
  • Igor Lebrun
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    Abstract

    The Federal Planning Bureau has a long tradition in providing long-term projections focused on the evolution of social expenditure within an overall framework of public finance, using the MALTESE system of models. This outlook is based on different scenarios: demographic, socio-economic, macroeconomic and welfare adjustment. The purpose of this publication is to describe the methodology for the construction of the socio-economic and macroeconomic scenarios and to illustrate it by presenting the main results from the 2011 projection for the Annual Report of the Study Group on Ageing.

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    File URL: http://www.plan.be/admin/uploaded/201203070804440.wp201205.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium in its series Working Papers with number 1205.

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    Date of creation: 06 Mar 2012
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    Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:1205

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