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Common factors in conditional distributions for Bivariate time series

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Author Info
Timo Terasvirta
Clive W.J Granger
Andrew Patton ()

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Abstract

A definition for a common factor for bivariate time series is suggested by considering the decomposition of the conditional density into the product of the marginals and the copula, with the conditioning variable being a common factor if it does not directly enter the copula.  The links of this definition with a common factor being a dominant feature in standard linear representations is shown. An application using a business cycle indicator as the common factor in the relationship between U.S. income and consumption found that both series held the factor  in their marginals but not in the copula.

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Paper provided by Financial Markets Group in its series FMG Discussion Papers with number dp455.

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Date of creation: Jun 2003
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Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp455

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  1. Andrew J. Patton, 2008. "Copula-Based Models for Financial Time Series," OFRC Working Papers Series 2008fe21, Oxford Financial Research Centre. [Downloadable!]
  2. Dominique Guegan & Jing Zhang, 2009. "Pricing bivariate option under GARCH-GH model with dynamic copula: application for Chinese market," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00368336_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Dominique Guegan & Cyril Caillault, 2008. "Forecasting VaR and Expected shortfall using dynamical Systems : a risk Management Strategy," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00185374_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Dominique Guegan & Jing Zhang, 2009. "Change analysis of dynamic copula for measuring dependence in multivariate financial data," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00368334_v1, HAL. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Param Silvapulle & Xibin Zhang, 2006. "Assessing Dependence Changes in the Asian Financial Market Returns Using Plots Based on Nonparametric Measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 9/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "The Shape of the Optimal Hedge Ratio: Modeling Joint Spot-Futures Prices using an Empirical Copula-GARCH Model," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37609, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. [Downloadable!]
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