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Disclosures and Asset Returns

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Author Info
Hyun Song Shin ()
Abstract

Public information to financial markets often arrives through the disclosures of interested parties who have a material interest in the reactions of the market to the new information. When the strategic interaction between the sender and the receiver is formalized as a disclosure game with verifiable reports, market prices observed in equilibrium can be given a simple characterization that relies only on the fact value of the announcement. Also, this characterisation predicts that the return variance following a bed outcome is higher than it would have been if he outcome were good. When investors are risk averse, this leads to negative serial correlation of asset returns.

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Paper provided by Financial Markets Group in its series FMG Discussion Papers with number dp371.

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Date of creation: Mar 2001
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Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp371

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