A Long-Run Risks Model of Asset Pricing with Fat Tails
AbstractWWe explore the effects of fat tails on the equilibrium implications of the long run risks model of asset pricing by introducing innovations with dampened power law to consumption and dividends growth processes. We estimate the structural parameters of the proposed model by maximum likelihood. We find that the homoskedastic model with fat tails leads to significant increase in implied risk premia and volatility of price-dividend ratio over the benchmark Gaussian model, but similar volatility of market return, expected risk free rate and its volatility.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Florida International University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0810.
Length: 53 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2008
Date of revision:
asset pricing; long run risks; equity risk premium; fat tails; Dampened Power Law; Levy process;
Other versions of this item:
- Zhiguang (Gerald) Wang & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2010. "A Long-Run Risks Model of Asset Pricing with Fat Tails," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 14(3), pages 409-449.
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
- E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2008-12-14 (All new papers)
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