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Back-of-the-Envelope Estimates of Next Quarter’s Unemployment Rate

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  • Miguel Faria-e-Castro

Abstract

Layoffs are certainly one of the effects of battling COVID-19. What sort of unemployment rate might we see in the second quarter of 2020?

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel Faria-e-Castro, 2020. "Back-of-the-Envelope Estimates of Next Quarter’s Unemployment Rate," On the Economy 87740, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:l00001:87740
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Glover, Andrew & Heathcote, Jonathan & Krueger, Dirk & Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor, 2023. "Health versus wealth: On the distributional effects of controlling a pandemic," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 34-59.
    2. Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas & Valletta, Robert G., 2020. "Unemployment Paths in a Pandemic Economy," IZA Discussion Papers 13294, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    3. Birinci, Serdar & Karahan, Fatih & Mercan, Yusuf & See, Kurt, 2021. "Labor market policies during an epidemic," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    4. Christopher D. Carroll & Edmund Crawley & Jiri Slacalek & Matthew N. White, 2021. "Modeling the Consumption Response to the CARES Act," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 17(1), pages 107-141, March.
    5. Amory Martin & Maryia Markhvida & Stéphane Hallegatte & Brian Walsh, 2020. "Socio-Economic Impacts of COVID-19 on Household Consumption and Poverty," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 453-479, October.
    6. Joshua Bernstein & Alexander W. Richter & Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, 2020. "COVID-19: A View from the Labor Market," Working Papers 2010, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    7. Osborne Jackson, 2020. "An Approach to Predicting Regional Labor Market Effects of Economic Shocks: The COVID-19 Pandemic in New England," Current Policy Perspectives 88244, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    8. John Komlos, 2020. "The Actual U.S. Unemployment Rate Was 24.4% in May 2020," CESifo Working Paper Series 8383, CESifo.
    9. Alexander Williams, 2020. "Stabilizing State and Local Budgets through the Pandemic and Beyond," Economics Policy Note Archive 20-2, Levy Economics Institute.

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