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Rational expectations, econometric exogeneity and consumption

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Author Info
Thomas J. Sargent

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File URL: http://minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr25.pdf
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis in its series Staff Report with number 25.

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Date of creation: 1977
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Publication status: Published in Journal of Political Economy (Vol. 86, No. 4, August 1978, pp. 673-700)
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:25

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Keywords: Consumption (Economics) ; Econometrics;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Bailey, Martin J, 1972. "The Optimal Full-Employment Surplus," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 80(4), pages 649-61, July-Aug.. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hall, Robert E, 1978. "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(6), pages 971-87, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Thomas J. Sargent, 1973. "Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(1973-2), pages 429-480. [Downloadable!]
  4. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. James Tobin, 1955. "A Dynamic Aggregative Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63, pages 103. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Sims, Christopher A, 1972. "Money, Income, and Causality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 540-52, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Henderson, Dale W & Sargent, Thomas J, 1973. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 345-65, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Lucas, Robert E, Jr & Rapping, Leonard A, 1969. "Real Wages, Employment, and Inflation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 77(5), pages 721-54, Sept./Oct. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. R. Paap & H.K. van Dijk, 2002. "Bayes estimates of Markov trends in possibly cointegrated series," Econometric Institute Report 295, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute. [Downloadable!]
  2. Matthew T. Holt & Stanley R. Johnson, 1988. "Bounded Price Variation, Rational Expectations, and Endogenous Switching in the U.S. Corn Market," Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) Publications 88-wp28, Center for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD) at Iowa State University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Nadiri, M. Ishaq & Schankerman, Mark, 1982. "Investment in R&D, Costs of Adjustment and Expectations," Working Papers 82-20, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
  4. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1981. "Exact linear rational expectations models: specification and estimation," Staff Report 71, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  5. Gregory C. Chow, 2003. "Equity Premium and Consumption Sensitivity When the Consumer- Investor Allows for Unfavorable Circumstances," Macroeconomics 0306012, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  6. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1983. "The Production and Inventory Behavior of the American Automobile Industry," NBER Working Papers 0891, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Orazio Attanasio & Margherita Borella, 2006. "Stochastic Components of Individual Consumption: A Time Series Analysis of Grouped Data," NBER Working Papers 12456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Alan S. Blinder, 1981. "Temporary Income Taxes and Consumer Spending," NBER Working Papers 0283, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Cheng K. Wu, 1997. "New Result in Theory of Consumption: Changes in Savings and Income Growth," Macroeconomics 9706007, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  10. Ben S. Bernanke, 1982. "Adjustment Costs, Durables, and Aggregate Consumption," NBER Working Papers 1038, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Robert E. Hall, 1987. "Consumption," NBER Working Papers 2265, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. John Y. Campbell, 1988. "Does Saving Anticipate Declining Labor Income? An Alternative Test of the Permanent Income Hypothesis," NBER Working Papers 1805, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  13. Fumio Hayashi, 1982. "The Effect of Liquidity Constraints on Consumption: Cross-Sectional Analysis," Discussion Papers 516, Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Laurence J. Kotlikoff & Ariel Pakes, 1989. "Looking for the News in the Noise - Additional Stochastic Implications of Optimal Consumption Choice," NBER Working Papers 1492, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Jeremy J. Nalewaik, 2004. "Current Consumption and Future Income Growth: Synthetic Panel Evidence," BEA Working Papers 0015, Bureau of Economic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  16. Jeffrey A. Miron, 1987. "Seasonal Fluctuations and the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Model of Consumption," NBER Working Papers 1845, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Jeffrey A. Miron & Stephen P. Zeldes, 1989. "Seasonality, Cost Shocks, and the Production Smoothing Model of Inventories," NBER Working Papers 2360, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  18. Ben S. Bernanke, 1981. "Permanent Income, Liquidity, and Expenditure on Automobiles: Evidence from Panel Data," NBER Working Papers 0756, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  19. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J. Sargent, 1981. "A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models," Staff Report 69, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  20. Mark Schankerman & M. Ishaq Nadiri, 1982. "Investment in R&D, Costs of Adjustment and Expectations," NBER Working Papers 0931, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  21. Silvia Magri, 2002. "Italian households' debt: determinants of demand and supply," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 454, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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