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Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain

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  • Riccardo DiCecio
  • Michael T. Owyang

Abstract

Since Gal [1999], long-run restricted VARs have become the standard for identifying the effects of technology shocks. In a recent paper, Francis et al. [2008] proposed an alternative to identify technology as the shock that maximizes the forecast-error variance share of labor productivity at long horizons. In this paper, we propose a variant of the Max Share identification, which focuses on maximizing the variance share of labor productivity in the frequency domain. We consider the responses to technology shocks identified from various frequency bands. Two distinct technology shocks emerge. An expansionary shock increases productivity, output, and hours at business-cycle frequencies. The technology shock that maximizes productivity in the medium and long runs instead has clear contractionary effects on hours, while increasing output and productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Riccardo DiCecio & Michael T. Owyang, 2010. "Identifying technology shocks in the frequency domain," Working Papers 2010-025, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-025
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "The identification of dominant macroeconomic drivers: coping with confounding shocks," Working Paper Series 2534, European Central Bank.
    2. Dieppe,Alistair Matthew & Francis,Neville Ricardo & Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene, 2021. "Technology and Demand Drivers of Productivity Dynamics in Developed and Emerging Market Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9525, The World Bank.
    3. Domenico Giannone & Michèle Lenza & Lucrezia Reichlin, 2012. "Money, Credit, Monetary Policy and the Business Cycle in the Euro Area," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2012-008, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. Guay, Alain & Pelgrin, Florian, 2023. "Structural VAR models in the Frequency Domain," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 236(1).
    5. Dieppe, Alistair & Francis, Neville & Kindberg-Hanlon, Gene, 2021. "Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    6. Lovcha, Yuliya & Pérez Laborda, Àlex, 2016. "The Variance-Frequency Decomposition as an Instrument for VAR Identification: an Application to Technology Shocks," Working Papers 2072/261537, Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Department of Economics.

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    Keywords

    Business cycles; Technology - Economic aspects; Productivity;
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