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Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Postwar Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America

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Abstract

Since 1950, the economies of East Asia grew rapidly but received little international capital, while Latin America received considerable international capital even as their economies stagnated. The literature typically explains the failure of capital to flow to high growth regions as resulting from international capital market imperfections. This paper proposes a broader thesis that country-specific distortions, such as domestic labor and capital market distortions, also impact capital flows. We develop a DSGE model of Asia, Latin America, and the Rest of the World that features an open-economy business cycle accounting framework to measure these domestic and international distortions, and to quantify their contributions to international capital flows. We find that domestic distortions have been the predominant drivers of international capital flows, and that the general equilibrium effects of these distortions are very large. International capital market distortions also matter, but less so.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee E. Ohanian & Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria & Mark L. J. Wright, 2015. "Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Postwar Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America," Working Paper Series WP-2015-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-2015-08
    Note: FRB of Atlanta in 2013201, Bad Investments and Missed Opportunities? Capital Flows to Asia and Latin America, 1950-2007
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    7. Restrepo-Echavarria, Paulina, 2019. "Endogenous borrowing constraints and stagnation in Latin America," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    8. Ly-Dai, Hung, 2016. "Non-Linear Pattern of International Capital Flows," MPRA Paper 90236, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Oct 2018.
    9. Joseph Steinberg, 2019. "On the Source of U.S. Trade Deficits: Global Saving Glut or Domestic Saving Drought?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 31, pages 200-223, January.
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    Keywords

    Investments; capital flows; Asia; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • N25 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Asia including Middle East
    • N26 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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