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Anticipations of foreign exchange volatility and bid-ask spreads

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Author Info
Shang-Jin Wei

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Abstract

The paper studies the effect of the market's perceived exchange rate volatility on bid-ask spreads. The anticipated volatility is extracted from currency options data. An increase in the perceived volatility is found to widen bid-ask spreads. The direction of the effect is consistent with an option model of the spread, but the magnitude is smaller. An increase in trading volume of spot exchange rates also widens the spread. The omission of the trading volume, however, does not bias the estimate of the effect of the volatility on the spreads. Although the spread-volatility relations implied by the option model of the spread is close to linear, some form of nonlinearity can still be detected from the data.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number 409.

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Date of creation: 1991
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:409

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Related research
Keywords: Foreign exchange rates ; International trade;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Glosten, Lawrence R, 1987. " Components of the Bid-Ask Spread and the Statistical Properties of Transaction Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1293-1307, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Richard K. Lyons, 1993. "Tests of Microstructural Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market," NBER Working Papers 4471, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Boothe, Paul M, 1988. "Exchange Rate Risk and the Bid-Ask Spread: A Seven Country Comparison," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 485-92, July.
  4. Glassman, Debra, 1987. "Exchange rate risk and transactions costs: Evidence from bid-ask spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 479-490, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Lyons, Richard K., 1988. "Tests of the foreign exchange risk premium using the expected second moments implied by option pricing," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 91-108, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Melvin, Michael & Tan, Kok-Hui, 1996. "Foreign Exchange Market Bid-Ask Spreads and the Market Price of Social Unrest," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 329-41, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Robert C. Merton, 1973. "Theory of Rational Option Pricing," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(1), pages 141-183, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Mende, Alexander, 2005. "09/11 on the USD/EUR Foreign Exchange Market," Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Universität Hannover dp-312, Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Törbjörn I. Becker & Amadou N. R. Sy, 2005. "Were Bid-Ask Spreads in the FX Market Excessive During the Asian Crisis?," IMF Working Papers 05/34, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Shang-Jin Wei & Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1991. "Are Option-Implied Forecasts of Exchange Rate Volatility Excessively Variable?," NBER Working Papers 3910, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Bjonnes, Geir H. & Rime, Dagfinn & Solheim, Haakon O. Aa., 2002. "Volume and Volatility in the FX-Market: Does it matter who you are?," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. David C. Parsley & Shang-Jin Wei, 1994. "Insignificant and Inconsequential Hysteresis: The Case of the U.S. Bilateral Trade," NBER Working Papers 4738, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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