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Is pegging the exchange rate a cure for inflation? East Asian experiences

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  • Reuven Glick
  • Michael Hutchison

Abstract

A common argument for pegging the exchange rate is that it enforces discipline on domestic monetary policy, thus stabilizing inflation expectations. This paper argues that this reasoning does not necessarily apply to East Asia, as the nominal exchange rate pegging policies of these economies are not the explanation for their low inflation. On the contrary, since 1985, those economies whose currencies have appreciated less against the U.S. dollar have tended to experience higher inflation. Factors other than pegging, such as rapid growth, sustainable budget deficits, and relative openness most likely explain the relative success of East Asian economies in achieving low inflation.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its series Pacific Basin Working Paper Series with number 95-08.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Publication status: Published in Exchange-rate policies for emerging market economies (West View Press, 1999, p 165-193)
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfpb:95-08

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Keywords: East Asia ; Foreign exchange - Law and legislation ; Inflation (Finance) ; Monetary policy;

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  1. Reuven Glick & Ramon Moreno, 1995. "Is pegging the exchange rate a cure for inflation? East Asian experiences," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov3.
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Cited by:
  1. Kawai, Masahiro & Takagi, Shinji, 2000. "Proposed strategy for a regional exchange rate arrangement in post-crisis East Asia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2503, The World Bank.
  2. Ramon Moreno & Gloria Pasadilla & Eli Remolona, 1998. "Asia's financial crisis: lessons and policy responses," Pacific Basin Working Paper Series 98-02, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  3. Shinji Takagi, 1996. "The Yen and Its East Asian Neighbors, 1980-1995: Cooperation or Competition?," NBER Working Papers 5720, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  4. Reuven Glick & Ramon Moreno, 1995. "Is pegging the exchange rate a cure for inflation? East Asian experiences," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue nov3.
  5. Ramkishen Rajan, 2010. "The Currency and Financial Crisis in Southeast Asia: A Case of 'Sudden Death' or Death Foretold'?," Working Papers id:2583, eSocialSciences.

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