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Earnings mobility and instability, 1969-1995

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Author Info
Mary C. Daly
Greg J. Duncan

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Abstract

We study earnings mobility and instability using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. Our main contribution is to update mobility and instability calculations to include data from the 1990s, although we also provide a number of tests of robustness across mobility and instability indicators and sample definition. All in all, we find few trends in earnings instability since the 1970s, particularly among younger workers. However, we find no evidence that instability continued to increase throughout the 1980s and early 1990s. With regard to mobility, we find greater upward mobility and less downward mobility of middle-income workers in the 1980s relative to the 1970s. The former trend appears to have reversed itself by the middle of the 1990s. Employment-based indicators are consistent with earnings-based indicators in showing increased employment instability between the 1970s and later periods.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its series Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory with number 97-06.

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Date of creation: 1997
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfap:97-06

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Keywords: Wages ; Labor mobility ; Income distribution;

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  1. Couch, Kenneth A. & Lillard, Dean R., 1998. "Sample selection rules and the intergenerational correlation of earnings," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 313-329, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Kenneth A. Swinnerton & Howard Wial, 1995. "Is job stability declining in the U.S. economy?," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, ILR Review, ILR School, Cornell University, vol. 48(2), pages 293-304, January.
  3. Diebold, Francis X & Neumark, David & Polsky, Daniel, 1997. "Job Stability in the United States," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 15(2), pages 206-33, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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