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Indeterminacy in a forward-looking regime-switching model Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Roger E.A. Farmer
Daniel F. Waggoner
Tao Zha
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This paper is about the properties of Markov-switching rational expectations (MSRE) models. We discuss possible solution concepts for MSRE models, distinguishing between stationary and bounded equilibria. For the case of models with one variable, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition for uniqueness of a bounded equilibrium, and we relate this condition to an alternative, the generalized Taylor principle suggested by Davig and Leeper. We provide examples of models with multiple bounded and multiple stationary equilibria which suggest that it may be more difficult to rule out nonfundamental equilibria in MSRE models than in the single-regime case where the Taylor principle is known to guarantee local uniqueness.
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta in its series Working Paper with number
2006-19.
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedawp:2006-19Contact details of provider: Postal: 1000 Peachtree St., N.E., Atlanta, Georgia 30309 Phone: 404-521-8500 Email: Web page: http://www.frbatlanta.org/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Article Paper Farmer, Roger E A & Waggoner, Daniel F & Zha, Tao, 2006.
"Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5919, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Roger E. A. Farmer & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2006.
"Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model ,"
NBER Working Papers
12540, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Lars Svensson & Noah Williams, 2005.
"Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting ,"
NBER Working Papers
11733, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Svensson, Lars E O & Williams, Noah, 2007.
"Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6331, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Svensson, Lars E.O. & Williams, Noah, 2005.
"Monetary policy with model uncertainty: distribution forecast targeting ,"
Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies
2005,35, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
[Downloadable!] Noah Williams & Lars E.O. Svensson, 2005.
"Monetary Policy with Model Uncertainty: Distribution Forecast Targeting ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
108, Society for Computational Economics.
Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2005.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
NBER Working Papers
11874, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2006.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
Caepr Working Papers
2006-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
[Downloadable!] Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2005.
"Generalizing the Taylor principle ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 05-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!] Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2007.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 607-635, June.
[Downloadable!] Julio J. Rotemberg & Michael Woodford, 1999.
"Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: Monetary Policy Rules, pages 57-126
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 2000.
"Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence And Some Theory ,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics ,
MIT Press, vol. 115(1), pages 147-180, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Clarida, Richard & Galí, Jordi & Gertler, Mark, 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
1908, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
NBER Working Papers
6442, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Richard Clarida & Jordi Galí & Mark Gertler, 1997.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory ,"
Economics Working Papers
350, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised May 1999.
[Downloadable!] Clarida, R. & Gali, J. & Gertler, M., 1998.
"Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and some Theory ,"
Working Papers
98-01, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University.
[Downloadable!] Roger E.A. Farmer & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2008.
"Minimal state variable solutions to Markov-switching rational expectations models ,"
Working Paper
2008-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Robert G. King, 2000.
"The new IS-LM model : language, logic, and limits ,"
Economic Quarterly ,
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue Sum, pages 45-103.
[Downloadable!]
Full
references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2005.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
NBER Working Papers
11874, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2006.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
Caepr Working Papers
2006-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Economics Department, Indiana University Bloomington.
[Downloadable!] Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2005.
"Generalizing the Taylor principle ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 05-13, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!] Troy Davig & Eric M. Leeper, 2007.
"Generalizing the Taylor Principle ,"
American Economic Review ,
American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 607-635, June.
[Downloadable!] Jess Benhabib, 2009.
"A Note on Regime Switching, Monetary Policy, and Multiple Equilibria ,"
NBER Working Papers
14770, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
William A. Branch & Troy Davig & Bruce McGough, 2007.
"Expectational stability in regime-switching rational expectations models ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 07-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
Roger E.A. Farmer & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2007.
"Understanding the New Keynesian model when monetary policy switches regimes ,"
Working Paper
2007-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Roger E.A. Farmer & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2008.
"Minimal state variable solutions to Markov-switching rational expectations models ,"
Working Paper
2008-23, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
[Downloadable!]
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F Rubio-Ramírez, 2007.
"How Structural Are Structural Parameters? ,"
Levine's Bibliography
843644000000000057, UCLA Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, 2007.
"How Structural Are Structural Parameters? ,"
NBER Working Papers
13166, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde & Juan Rubio-ram, 2007.
"How Structural Are Structural Parameters? ,"
NBER Chapters ,
in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007, Volume 22, pages 83-137
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Chadha, J.S. & Corrado, L., 2007.
"On the Determinacy of Monetary Policy under Expectational Errors ,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
0722, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
[Downloadable!]
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