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On the Determinants of Global Bilateral Migration Flows

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  • Jesus Crespo Cuaresma
  • Mathias Moser
  • Anna Raggl

Abstract

We present a method aimed at estimating global bilateral migration flows and assessing their determinants. We employ that fact that available net migration figures for a country are (nonlinear) aggregates of migration flows from and to all other countries of the world in order to construct a statistical model that links the determinants of (unobserved) migration flows to total net migration. Using simple speci fications based on the gravity model for international migration, we find that migration flows can be explained by standard gravity model variables such as GDP di fferences, distance or bilateral population. The usefulness of such models is exemplifi ed by combining estimated speci cations with population and GDP projections in order to assess quantitatively the expected changes in migration flows to Europe in the coming decades.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by WWWforEurope in its series WWWforEurope Working Papers series with number 5.

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Length: 21
Date of creation: Jun 2013
Date of revision:
Publication status: published
Handle: RePEc:feu:wfewop:y:2013:m:6:d:0:i:5

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Postal: WWWforEurope Project Office Austrian Institute of Economic Research Arsenal Objekt 20 A-1030 Vienna
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Keywords: bilateral migration flows; gravity model; nonlinearly aggregated models;

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Cited by:
  1. Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2013. "“A gravity model of migration between ENC and EU”," IREA Working Papers, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics 201317, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2013.
  2. Karl Aiginger & Kurt Kratena & Margit Schratzenstaller & Teresa Weiss, 2014. "Moving towards a new growth model," WWWforEurope Deliverables series 3, WWWforEurope.

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