On the Determinants of Global Bilateral Migration Flows
AbstractWe present a method aimed at estimating global bilateral migration flows and assessing their determinants. We employ that fact that available net migration figures for a country are (nonlinear) aggregates of migration flows from and to all other countries of the world in order to construct a statistical model that links the determinants of (unobserved) migration flows to total net migration. Using simple speci fications based on the gravity model for international migration, we find that migration flows can be explained by standard gravity model variables such as GDP di fferences, distance or bilateral population. The usefulness of such models is exemplifi ed by combining estimated speci cations with population and GDP projections in order to assess quantitatively the expected changes in migration flows to Europe in the coming decades.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by WWWforEurope in its series WWWforEurope Working Papers series with number 5.
Date of creation: Jun 2013
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Publication status: published
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Postal: WWWforEurope Project Office Austrian Institute of Economic Research Arsenal Objekt 20 A-1030 Vienna
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
- O15 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2013-07-15 (All new papers)
- NEP-INT-2013-07-15 (International Trade)
- NEP-MIG-2013-07-15 (Economics of Human Migration)
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- Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2013.
"“A gravity model of migration between ENC and EU”,"
IREA Working Papers
201317, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Oct 2013.
- Raul Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2013. "“A gravity model of migration between ENC and EU”," AQR Working Papers 201309, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Oct 2013.
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