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Climate Change and Tourism in Tuscany, Italy. What if heat becomes unbearable?

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Author Info

  • Mattia Cai

    (Department Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padua, and The Mediterranean Science Commission – CIESM, Principauté de Monaco)

  • Roberto Ferrise

    (CNR-IBIMET, National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology, Florence)

  • Marco Moriondo

    (CNR-IBIMET, National Research Council Institute of Biometeorology, Florence)

  • Paulo A.L.D. Nunes

    (The Mediterranean Science Commission – CIESM, Principauté de Monaco and Department Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padua)

  • Marco Bindi

    (Department of Plant, Soil and Environmental Science - University of Florence)

Abstract

This paper investigates the empirical magnitude of climate conditions on tourist flows in Tuscany, exploring the use of a fine spatial scale analysis. In fact, we explore the use of an 8-year panel dataset of Tuscany’s 254 municipalities, examining how tourist inflows respond to variation in local weather conditions. In particular, as the area enjoys a fairly mild Mediterranean climate, our analysis focused on temperature extremes at key times of the tourist season, i.e., on maximum summer temperature and minimum winter temperature. Separate analyses are conducted for domestic and international tourists, so as to test the differences in the preferences among these distinct groups (or types of demand). Estimation results show the impact of climate change on tourist flows appears to vary significantly among destinations depending on the kind of attractions they offer, and those areas that host the main artistic and historical sights, affecting predominantly the domestic rather than the international tourists.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei in its series Working Papers with number 2011.67.

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Date of creation: Sep 2011
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Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2011.67

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Related research

Keywords: Domestic Tourists; International Tourists; Municipalities; Maximum And Minimum Daily Temperature; Dynamic Model; Temperature Demand Elasticity; GMM;

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References

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  1. Jacqueline M. Hamilton & David J. Maddison & Richard S.J. Tol, 2003. "Climate Change And International Tourism: A Simulation Study," Working Papers, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University FNU-31, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Sep 2003.
  2. Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2004. "The Impact Of Climate On Holiday Destination Choice," Working Papers, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University FNU-55, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Oct 2004.
  3. Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Maten A. Lau, 2004. "The Role Of Climate Information In Tourist Destination Choice Decision-Making," Working Papers, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University FNU-56, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Nov 2004.
  4. Jacqueline M. Hamilton & David J. Maddison & Richard S.J. Tol, 2004. "The Effects Of Climate Change On International Tourism," Working Papers, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University FNU-36, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jan 2004.
  5. Arellano, Manuel & Bond, Stephen, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Wiley Blackwell, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(2), pages 277-97, April.
  6. Andrea Bigano & Alessandra Goria & Jacqueline Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2005. "The Effect of Climate Change and Extreme Weather Events on Tourism," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei 2005.30, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  7. Andrea Bigano & Maria Berrittella & Roberto Roson & Richard S.J. Tol, 2004. "A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Tourism," Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei 2004.127, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  8. Richardson, Robert B. & Loomis, John B., 2004. "Adaptive recreation planning and climate change: a contingent visitation approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 50(1-2), pages 83-99, September.
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Cited by:
  1. Onofri, Laura & Nunes, Paulo A.L.D., 2013. "Beach ‘lovers’ and ‘greens’: A worldwide empirical analysis of coastal tourism," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 49-56.

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