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A Robust Multivariate Long Run Analysis of European Electricity Prices

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Author Info
Matteo Pelagatti (University of Milan-Bicocca)
Bruno Bosco (Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca)
Lucia Parisio (Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca)
Fabio Baldi (Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca and Ref. Ricerche per l’economia e la finanza)

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Abstract

This paper analyses the interdependencies existing in wholesale European electricity prices. The results of a multivariate long run dynamic analysis of weekly median prices reveal the presence of a strong although not perfect integration among some neighboring markets considered in the sample and the existence of common long-term dynamics of electricity prices and gas prices but not oil prices. The existence of long-term dynamics among gas prices and electricity prices may prove to be important for long-term hedging operations to be conducted even in markets where there are no electricity derivatives.

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Paper provided by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei in its series Working Papers with number 2007.103.

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Date of creation: Nov 2007
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Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2007.103

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Related research
Keywords: European Electricity Prices; Cointegration; Interdependencies; Equilibrium Correction Model; Oil Prices;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
D44 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - Auctions
L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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