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Money, Endogenous Fertility and Economic Growth

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Author Info
Alberto Petrucci (Universita' del Molise, Campobasso - LUISS G. Carli, Rome)

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Abstract

This paper analyses the issue of money superneutrality through an intertemporal optimising model of capital accumulation and inflation with endogenous fertility, i.e. endogenous population growth. The model establishes an inverse relation between capital-labour ratio and population growth, which represents the crucial element for having non-superneutrality of money. A higher monetary growth rate increases fertility, since it reduces its opportunity cost, and hence diminishes capital intensity, per capita output and consumption. The reverse Tobin effect on capital-labour ratio and per capita output is matched by an increase in aggregate capital and output growth rates. In this framework, the optimal monetary growth rule, which is a distorted Friedman rule, can call for either a contraction or an expansion of the money supply.

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Paper provided by Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei in its series Working Papers with number 1999.26.

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Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:1999.26

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Related research
Keywords: Money Superneutrality; Fertility; Capital Accumulation;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O42 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Stockman, Alan C., 1981. "Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash in-advance economy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 387-393. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Wang, Ping & Yip, Chong K & Scotese, Carol A, 1994. "Fertility Choice and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 76(2), pages 255-66, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Calvo, Guillermo A, 1979. "On Models of Money and Perfect Foresight," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(1), pages 83-103, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Chong K. Yip & Junxi Zhang, 1997. "A simple endogenous growth model with endogenous fertility: Indeterminacy and uniqueness," Journal of Population Economics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 97-110. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Brock, William A, 1974. "Money and Growth: The Case of Long Run Perfect Foresight," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 15(3), pages 750-77, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Palivos, Theodore, 1995. "Endogenous fertility, multiple growth paths, and economic convergence," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 19(8), pages 1489-1510, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Drazen, Allan, 1981. "Inflation and capital accumulation under a finite horizon," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 247-260. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  12. Van Der Ploeg, Frederick & Marini, Giancarlo, 1988. "Finite horizons and the non-neutrality of money," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 57-61. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Feenstra, Robert C., 1986. "Functional equivalence between liquidity costs and the utility of money," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 271-291, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. Carmichael, Jeffrey, 1982. "Money and Growth: Some Old Theorems from a New Perspective," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 58(163), pages 386-94, December.
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  16. Epstein, Larry G & Hynes, J Allan, 1983. "The Rate of Time Preference and Dynamic Economic Analysis," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 611-35, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Barro, Robert J & Becker, Gary S, 1989. "Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 481-501, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  18. Robert J. Barro, 1996. "Inflation and growth," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 153-169. [Downloadable!]
  19. Danthine, Jean-Pierre & Donaldson, John B. & Smith, Lance, 1987. "On the superneutrality of money in a stochastic dynamic macroeconomic model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 475-499, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Wang, Ping & Yip, Chong K, 1992. "Alternative Approaches to Money and Growth," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 24(4), pages 553-62, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  21. Wang, Ping & Yip, Chong K., 1991. "Transactions cost, endogenous labor, and the superneutrality of money," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 183-191. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ken-ichi Hashimoto & Yoshiyasu Ono, 2007. "Does Pro-population Policy Raise Per Capita Consumption?," ISER Discussion Paper 0697, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University. [Downloadable!]
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