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Growth and the Welfare State in the EU: A causality analysis

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  • José A. Herce
  • Simón Sosvilla-Rivero
  • Juan J. De Lucio

Abstract

In this paper, we test for causality between GDP growth and social protection expenditure in the European Union. To that end, we apply Hsiao's (1981) sequential procedure to data for twelve EU countries along the 1970-94 period. Our results suggest that, for Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain, causality runs only from social protection growth to GDP growth, while for Denmark, France, Greece, Italy, and the United Kingdom, no causality is found between social protection growth and GDP growth. Copyright 2001 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Working Papers with number 98-12.

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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaddt:9812

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Cited by:
  1. Sergio Beraldo & Daniel Montolio Estivill & Gilberto Turati, 2005. "Healthy, Educated and Wealthy: Is the Welfare State Really Harmful for Growth?," Working Papers in Economics 127, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia.
  2. Simón Sosvilla-Rivero & José Antonio Herce & Juan-José De Lucio, 2003. "Convergence in Social Protection Across EU Countries, 1970-1999," Economics Working Papers 018, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes.
  3. Alfredo Marvão Pereira & Jorge M. Andraz, 2014. "On The Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects Of Social Security Spending:Evidence For 12 Eu Countries," Working Papers 150, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
  4. R. Schoonackers & F. Heylen, 2011. "Fiscal Policy and TFP in the OECD: A Non-Stationary Panel Approach," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/701, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.

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