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Efectos de las ayudas europeas sobre la economía madrileña, 1990-2006: Un análisis basado en el modelo Hermin

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  • Simón Sosvilla-Rivero
  • José A. Herce

Abstract

Este trabajo presenta los resultados de la evaluación, para la economía madrileña, de las ayudas recibidas de la Unión Europea durante el período 1990-2006 a través de distintos programas de inversiones, cerca de 3 mil millones de euros. Para ello utilizamos una adaptación para la economía madrileña del modelo HERMIN-España. Los efectos totales (de demanda y debidos a la externalidad de oferta) habrían aumentado progresivamente la brecha del VAB desde el 0,21 por ciento en 1990 hasta un 0,43% en 2006. Este efecto total equivale a un diferencial en la tasa de crecimiento del VAB real anual de 0,02 puntos porcentuales, que daría lugar a una renta per capita (PIB per cápita) 68 euros mayor, por término medio al año durante el período 1989-2006, que la resultante en ausencia de dichas ayudas europeas. Respecto al mercado de trabajo, se estima que los efectos totales de las inversiones en infraestructuras generarán, como media durante el período 1989-2006, 4 mil empleos más que los que se crearían en el escenario de base, lo cual se traduce en una reducción media de la tasa de paro de 0,10 puntos porcentuales durante el mismo período.

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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Working Papers with number 2003-29.

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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaddt:2003-29

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Cited by:
  1. Cardenete Flores, M.Alejandro & Delgado López, María Del Carmen & Fuentes Saguar, Patricia D., 2013. "Análisis del impacto de los Fondos Europeos en Andalucía: 2000-2006/Impact Assessment of the European Funds in Andalusia: 2000-2006," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 31, pages 247 (26 pag, Enero.
  2. M. Carmen Lima & M. Alejandro Cardenete, 2005. "Impact Assessment of European Structural Funds in Andalusia - a CGE Approach," ERSA conference papers ersa05p154, European Regional Science Association.

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