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Measuring and Explaining Inflation Persistence: Disaggregate Evidence on the Czech Republic

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Author Info
Ian Babetskii (Czech National Bank, CERGE-EI)
Fabrizio Coricelli (European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, CEPR)
Roman Horváth () (Institute of Economic Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic, Czech National Bank)

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Abstract

The paper provides an empirical analysis of inflation persistence in the Czech Republic using 412 detailed product-level consumer price indexes underlying the consumer basket over the period from 1994:M1 to 2005:M12. Subject to various sensitivity tests, our results suggest that raw goods and non-durables, followed by services, display smaller inflation persistence than durables and processed goods. Inflation seems to be somewhat less persistent after the adoption of inflation targeting in 1998. There is also evidence for aggregation bias, that is, aggregate inflation is found to be more persistent than the underlying detailed components. Price dispersion, as a proxy for the degree of competition, is found to be negatively related to inflation persistence, suggesting that competition is not conducive to reducing persistence.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies in its series Working Papers IES with number 2007/22.

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Length: 42 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2007
Date of revision: Aug 2007
Handle: RePEc:fau:wpaper:wp2007_22

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Related research
Keywords: inflation dynamics; persistence; inflation targeting;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - General
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Ondřej Schneider & Kamila Fialová, 2007. "Labour Market Institutions and Their Contribution to Labour Market Performance in the New EU Member Countries," Working Papers IES 2007/27, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Nov 2007. [Downloadable!]
  2. Michal Franta & Branislav Saxa & Katerina Smidkova, 2007. "Inflation Persistence in New EU Member States: Is It Different Than in the Euro Area Members?," Working Papers 2007/10, Czech National Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Natálie Švarcová & Petr Švarc, 2007. "The Impact of Social and Tax Policies on Families with Children: Comparative Study of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia," Working Papers IES 2007/28, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Nov 2007. [Downloadable!]
  4. František Turnovec, 2008. "Duality of Power in the European Parliament," Working Papers IES 2008/06, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Apr 2008. [Downloadable!]
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