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Crescimento Económico e Ciclos Partidários: Uma Clarificação da Relação Existente

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Author Info
António Caleiro () (Department of Economics, University of Évora)

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Abstract

As relações que existem entre alguns aspectos económicos, nomeadamente o crescimento, e alguns aspectos políticos, nomeadamente o nível de democracia, foram alvo de algum interesse teórico e também empírico (Alesina e Perotti, 1994; Alesina e Rodrik, 1994; Alesina et al., 1996; Barro, 1996). Neste campo, um aspecto em particular, essencialmente ligado à democracia, como sendo o das relações existentes entre os ciclos partidários e o crescimento económico foi alvo de alguma controvérsia (Alesina, 1992; Alesina e Roubini, 1992; Alesina et al., 1993; Alesina et al., 1997; Gärtner, 1994a; Gärtner, 1999a; Gärtner, 1999b). O principal objectivo da comunicação é, assim, o de clarificar aquela controvérsia, para tal recorrendo a uma fundamentação original da curva de oferta agregada, enquanto paradigma de base aos modelos mais recentes de ciclos partidários. Tal conduzir-nos-á à questão da persistência no produto, a qual se revela de crucial importância para a gestão da política económica com fins, simultaneamente, eleitorais e ideológicos (Gärtner, 1996; Gärtner, 1997b; Gärtner, 1999a; Gärtner, 2000). Como objectivo subsidiário da comunicação, é considerado o caso Português enquanto teste de verificação empírica das eventuais relações entre os níveis de crescimento económico (em valor absoluto ou relativo) que têm vindo a caracterizar Portugal desde 1980 e a ideologia dos partidos que suportaram os diversos governos desde aquela data.

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Paper provided by University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal) in its series Economics Working Papers with number 15_2005.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:evo:wpecon:15_2005

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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