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Recent Advances in Cointegration Analysis Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Helmut LÜTKEPOHL
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A small system of German economic variables consisting of the money stock M3, Gross National Product (GNP) and a bond rate is used to illustrate the power of cointegration analysis and the usefulness of some recently developed tools for this kind of analysis. Testing for the cointegrating rank and specifying a VECM, estimating the cointegrating relations and other parameters as well as model checking are discussed. The estimated model is analyzed with an impulse response analysis and a forecast error variance decomposition is performed. A quite reasonable long-run money demand relation is found.
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Paper provided by European University Institute in its series Economics Working Papers with number
ECO2004/12.
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Date of creation: 2004Date of revision:
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Keywords: cointegration ; German monetary system ; vector error correction model ; Other versions of this item:
Find related papers by JEL classification: C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Leitão, João & Ferreira, João, 2007.
"Liberalization of European Telecommunications and Entrepreneurship: Why German and Portuguese Experiences are so Equal and so Different? ,"
MPRA Paper
5728, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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