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Can fiscal consolidations be expansionary in the EU? Ex-post evidence and ex-ante analysis

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Author Info

  • Gabriele Giudice
  • Alessandro Turrini
  • Jan in 't Veld

Abstract

This paper analyses non-Keynesian effects in fiscal consolidations in the EU. The analysis is carried out both ex-post, i.e. by looking at the emergence of expansionary consolidations in the past and at their characteristics, and ex-ante, i.e. by simulating with the European Commission QUEST model under which conditions public finance consolidation would exhibit non-Keynesian effects in the current EMU context.

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File URL: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication806_en.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission in its series European Economy - Economic Papers with number 195.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:euf:ecopap:0195

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Related research

Keywords: non-Keynesian effects; economic growth; QUEST model; EMU; Giudice; Turrini; in 't Veld; fiscal consolidation;

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Cited by:
  1. Benedetti, Marina & Giavazzi, Francesco & Jappelli, Tullio & Pagano, Marco, 2005. "Searching for Non-Monotonic Effects of Fiscal Policy: New Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 5272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. Hideaki Tanaka, 2005. "Fiscal Rules and Targets and Public Expenditure Management - Enthusiasm in the 1990s and its Aftermath," Finance Working Papers 22705, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
  3. Borys, Paweł & Ciżkowicz, Piotr & Rzońca, Andrzej, 2013. "Panel data evidence on effects of fiscal impulses in the EU New Member States," MPRA Paper 48243, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Bikai, Landry, 2010. "Les Effets Non Lineaires Des Deficits Budgetaires Sur L´Activite Economique En Cemac
    [Threshold Effects of Budgetary Policy on Economic Growth in Cemac]
    ," MPRA Paper 24524, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Eleni Roussou & Norman Cameron, 2005. "The Impact of the European Economic & Monetary Union on the Stability of the Greek Economy," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 85-98.
  6. Hideaki Tanaka, 2005. "Fiscal Rules and Targets and Public Expenditure Management: Enthusiasm in the 1990's and its Aftermath," Asia Pacific Economic Papers 346, Australia-Japan Research Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  7. Casimir Dadak, 2011. "Political Economy of the Euro Area Crisis," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(5), pages 593-604, December.
  8. Kapopoulos, Panayotis, 2004. "When can fiscal consolidation be expansionary? Evidence from a small open economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(8-9), pages 1031-1043, December.
  9. Maria Gabriella Briotti, 2005. "Economic reactions to public finance consolidation - a survey of the literature," Occasional Paper Series 38, European Central Bank.

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