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Random walk to innovation: why productivity follows a power law

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Christian Ghiglino ()

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Abstract

In this paper we propose a mechanism generating innovations with productivity distributed according to a power law. We assume that knowledge creation occurs as new ideas are produced from combinations of existing ideas. The productivity of an innovation is determined by an unobservable intrinsic component as well as by the productivity of the parent ideas and their parents, thus generating a network of spillovers. The second important feature is that the innovator has no global information on the network of parenthood links across ideas but has acces to local knowledge, as for example the list of cited references in a patent. The optimal behaviour of the innovator is to "walk randomly" through the network of "citations" as this algorithm leads to selecting highly connected parent nodes. We show that the distribution of productivity resulting from this optimal behaviour follows a power law. The intuition behind the result is that the innovator focuses his efforts on strengthening local spillovers because he has no command on the other sources of productivity. When this process of innovation is imbedded in a model a la Kortum (1997) balanced growth of output is generated.

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Paper provided by University of Essex, Department of Economics in its series Economics Discussion Papers with number 627.

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Date of creation: 27 Mar 2007
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Handle: RePEc:esx:essedp:627

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  1. James D. Adams & Adam B. Jaffe, 1996. "Bounding the Effects of R&D: An Investigation Using Matched Establishment-Firm Data," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 27(4), pages 700-721, Winter. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Charles I. Jones, 2005. "The Shape of Production Functions and the Direction of Technical Change," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 120(2), pages 517-549, May.
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  3. Pietro Peretto & Sjak Smulders, 2002. "Technological Distance, Growth And Scale Effects," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(481), pages 603-624, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Kelly, Morgan, 2001. " Linkages, Thresholds, and Development," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 39-53, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 323-51, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Olsson, Ola, 2000. " Knowledge as a Set in Idea Space: An Epistemological View on Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 253-75, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Matthew O. Jackson & Brian W. Rogers, 2007. "Meeting Strangers and Friends of Friends: How Random Are Social Networks?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 890-915, June. [Downloadable!]
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