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Effects of the Exchange-Rate Regime on Trade under Monetary Uncertainty: The Role of Price Setting

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Alexander Mihailov ()

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Abstract

In a baseline stochastic new open-economy macroeconomics (NOEM) model which parallels alternative invoicing conventions, namely consumer's currency pricing (CCP) vs. producer's currency pricing (PCP), we revisit the question whether the exchange-rate regime matters for trade. We show analytically that under full symmetry, only money shocks and separable but otherwise very general utility, it is irrelevant in affecting expected trade-to-output ratios. A peg-float comparison is nevertheless meaningful under PCP, although not CCP, in terms of volatility of national trade shares: by shutting down the pass-through and expenditure-switching channel, a peg then stabilizes equilibrium trade-to-GDP at its expected level.

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Paper provided by University of Essex, Department of Economics in its series Economics Discussion Papers with number 566.

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Date of creation: 28 Oct 2003
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Handle: RePEc:esx:essedp:566

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  7. Alexander Mihailov, 2004. "The Empirical Range of Pass-Through in US, German and Japanese Macrodata," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 44, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Alexander Mihailov, 2003. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through on Prices in Macrodata: A Comparative Sensitivity Analysis (Revised, November 2005)," Economics Discussion Papers 568, University of Essex, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Alexander Mihailov, 2004. "The Empirical Range of Pass-Through in US, German and Japanese Macrodata," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2004 44, Money Macro and Finance Research Group. [Downloadable!]
  3. Alexander Mihailov, 2004. "When and How Much Does a Peg Increase Trade? The Role of Trade Costs and Import Demand Elasticity under Monetary Uncertainty," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000203, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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