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Estimating the Impact of Metro North

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Author Info
Edgar Morgenroth (ESRI)

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Abstract

The single largest project under the Irish National Development Plan (NDP) 2007-2013, is the construction of a Metro system. Despite the fact that this is the largest project under the NDP and the government's transport strategy, Transport 21, no cost benefit analysis on the project has been published. This paper aims at addressing this lack of published analysis by considering the likely economic impact one of the Metro projects, Metro-North. In doing so the paper implements two novel methods namely the use of estimates from hedonic house price models and the results from macroeconomic studies instead of the conventional cost-benefit analysis. The two methods come up with contradictory results in that the hedonic pricing methodology would suggest that the Metro-North project should not proceed while the macroeconomic approach suggests the investment should go ahead. These results are dependent on the underlying assumptions, excluded benefits and parameters used, but given the analysis in the paper alternatives can be implemented readily.

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Paper provided by Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in its series Papers with number WP301.

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Date of creation: Jun 2009
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Handle: RePEc:esr:wpaper:wp301

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Gibbons, Stephen & Machin, Stephen, 2005. "Valuing rail access using transport innovations," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 148-169, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Duranton, Gilles & Turner, Matthew A, 2008. "Urban Growth and Transportation," CEPR Discussion Papers 6633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Graham Crampton, 2003. "Economic Development Impacts of Urban Rail Transport," ERSA conference papers ersa03p295, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  4. Crescenzi, Riccardo & Rodriguez-Pose, Andres, 2008. "Infrastructure endowment and investment as determinants of regional growth in the European Union," EIB Papers 8/2008, European Investment Bank, Economic and Financial Studies. [Downloadable!]
  5. Mayor, Karen & Lyons, Seán & Duffy, David & Tol, Richard S. J., 2008. "A Hedonic Analysis of the Value of Rail Transport in the Greater Dublin Area," Papers WP264, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI). [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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