The Impact of Climate Change on Tourism in Germany, The UK and Ireland: A Simulation Study
AbstractWe downscale the results of a global tourism simulation model at a national resolution to a regional resolution. We use this to investigate the impact of climate change on the regions of Germany, Ireland and the UK. Because of climate change, tourists from all three countries would spend more holidays in the home country. In all three countries, climate change would first reduce the number of international arrivals ? as Western European international tourist demand falls ? but later increase numbers ? as tourism demand from increasingly rich tropical countries grows. In Ireland and the UK, the regional pattern of demand shifts is similar to the international one: Tourism shifts north. In Germany, the opposite pattern is observed as the continental interior warms faster than the coast: Tourism
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) in its series Papers with number WP174.
Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2006
Date of revision:
International tourism; domestic tourism; climate change; regional impacts;
Other versions of this item:
- Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2006. "The Impact Of Climate Change On Tourism In Germany, The Uk And Ireland: A Simulation Study," Working Papers FNU-115, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Aug 2006.
- Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Richard S.J. Tol & Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Yuan Zhou, 2005.
"A Global Database of Domestic and International Tourist Numbers at National and Subnational Level,"
2005.3, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
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- Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2006.
"The Impact of Climate Change on Domestic and International Tourism: A Simulation Study,"
2006.86, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
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- Bujosa Bestard, Ángel & Rosselló Nadal, Jaume, 2011. "Cambio climático y estacionalidad turística en España: un análisis del turismo doméstico de costa/Climate Change and Tourism Seasonality in Spain: An Analysis of the Domestic Coastal Tourism," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 29, pages 863-880, Diciembre.
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- Karen Mayor & Richard S. J. Tol, 2008. "European Climate Policy and Aviation Emissions," Papers WP241, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
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