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Noisy leadership: An experimental approach

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Author Info
Wieland Müller
Yossi Spiegel
Werner Güth ()

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Abstract

We examine the strategic behavior of leaders and followers in sequential duopoly experiments in which followers either perfectly observe the leaders’ actions or else observe nothing. Our experiments show that consistent with the theory, leaders enjoy a greater …rst-mover advantage when followers observe their actions with higher probability. However, the results also show that (i) leaders do not fully exploit their …rst-mover advantage, (ii) when informed, followers tend to overreact slightly (i.e., choose quantities above their best-response to the leaders’ quantities), and (iii) when uninformed, followers try to predict leaders’ quantities and react optimally. This suggests that followers view the symmetric Cournot outcome as “fair” and whenever they observe leaders who are trying to exploit their …rst-mover advantage, they “punish” them by overreacting. Such punishments in turn induce leaders to behave more softly than the theory predicts.

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Paper provided by Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group in its series Papers on Strategic Interaction with number 2002-10.

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Handle: RePEc:esi:discus:2002-10

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Related research
Keywords: commitment; imperfect observability; sequential games; oligopoly; experiments.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Muller, W. & Fischer, S. & Guth, W. & Stiehler, A., 2003. "From ultimatum to nash bargaining: theory and experimental evidence," Discussion Paper 41, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Anders Poulsen & Jonathan Tan, 2007. "Information acquisition in the ultimatum game: An experimental study," Experimental Economics, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 391-409, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Poulsen, Anders, 2007. "Learning to Make Strategic Moves: Experimental Evidence," MPRA Paper 10927, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Anders U. Poulsen & Michael V. M. Roos, 2009. "Do People Make Strategic Moves? Experimental Evidence on Strategic Information Avoidance," Discussion Papers 09-06, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Anders Poulsen & Odile Poulsen, 2008. "A note on commitment when there are errors in communication," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(74), pages 1-8. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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