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Regional Impact of the Climate Change: A CGE Analysis for Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Hasan Dudu

    (Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University)

  • Erol H. Cakmak

Abstract

The effects of climate change on the overall economy necessitate taking into account backward and forward linkages of agriculture. However, the number of studies that relate climate change to agricultural production in Turkey through a sector or economy wide model is limited. Hence, further quantification of the effects of climate change on agricultural and overall economy is required to ponder about the possible impact of the climate change. This paper presents the results of a CGE modeling framework with enhanced regionalization. In addition the base year of the model is 2008. The model disaggregates national economy to 12 NUTS 1 regions. Results of global and regional climate models are used to run simulations about climate change. The results suggest that effects of climate change are significant and that regional interactions are important in understanding these effects. Our results support the fact that climate change mitigation should be considered as an integrated issue that would cause complicated results. Hence, any climate change mitigation policy needs to be region specific but should also consider the interaction among the regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hasan Dudu & Erol H. Cakmak, 2011. "Regional Impact of the Climate Change: A CGE Analysis for Turkey," Working Papers 644, Economic Research Forum, revised 10 Jan 2011.
    • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:644
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cakmak, Erol H. & Dudu, Hasan & Saracoglu, Sirin & Diao, Xinshen & Roe, Terry & Tsur, Yacov, 2008. "Macro-Micro Feedback Links Of Irrigation Water Management In Turkey," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4781, The World Bank.
    2. William R. Cline, 2007. "Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 4037, October.
    3. -, 2009. "The economics of climate change," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38679, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
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    Cited by:

    1. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    2. Fatma El-Hamidi, 2007. "Early Retirement in the Government Sector in Egypt: Preferences, Determinants and Policy Implications," Working Papers 721, Economic Research Forum, revised 01 Jan 2007.
    3. Afşin Şahin & Aysit Tansel & M. Hakan Berument, 2015. "Output–Employment Relationship Across Sectors: A Long- Versus Short-Run Perspective," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(3), pages 265-288, July.
    4. Ouraich, Ismail & Tyner, Wallace E., 2014. "Climate change impacts on Moroccan agriculture and the whole economy: An analysis of the impacts of the Plan Maroc Vert in Morocco," WIDER Working Paper Series 083, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Ouraich, Ismail & Tyner, Wallace E., 2011. "A CGE Analysis of Economy-wide Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Morocco," 2011 Conference: Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture, December 6-7, 2011, Rabat, Morocco 188121, Moroccan Association of Agricultural Economics (AMAEco).
    6. Ismail Ouraich & Wallace E. Tyner, 2014. "Climate Change Impacts on Moroccan Agriculture and the Whole Economy: An Analysis of the Impacts of the Plan Maroc Vert in Morocco," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-083, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).

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