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On the Linkage between Monetary Policy and MENA Stock Markets

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  • Samy Bennaceur

    ()
    (Laboratoire d’Economie et Finance Appliquées (LEFA), and Institut des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (IHEC), Carthage Présidence)

  • Adel Boughrara

    ()
    (University of Sousse, Cité Erriadh, Sousse, Tunisia)

  • Samir Ghazouani

    ()
    (Laboratoire d’Economie et Finance Appliquées (LEFA), and Institut Supérieur de Comptabilité & d’Administration des Entreprises (ISCAE), Campus Universitaire de Manouba)

Abstract

Relatively little empirical evidence is available that estimates the relationship between asset price movements and monetary policy measures. This paper, which is the first study that focuses on the linkage between monetary policy and stock market prices, aims at analyzing the interaction between monetary policy and asset markets in eight MENA countries. The countries considered in this study are: Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, and Turkey. To this end, VAR methodology is used. The nature of the relationship between asset price movements and monetary policy is currently a hotly debated topic in macroeconomics. The chief findings put forward by this study are the following: (i) In Bahrain, Oman, Jordan and Saudi Arabia monetary policy seems to have a significant impact on stock market returns. (ii) The monetary policies of Tunisia, Morocco and to a less extent those of Egypt do not significantly impact on equity prices. (iii) Better still, monetary policies’ reactions to stock market price movements are far from being homogenous across countries. While Saudi Arabian and Jordanian monetary authorities respond vigorously to an increase in stock market returns, the other countries do not seem to exhibit any reaction. The paper attempts to provide some explanations.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Economic Research Forum in its series Working Papers with number 455.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2009
Date of revision: Jan 2009
Publication status: Published by The Economic Research Forum (ERF)
Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:455

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