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Oil Prices and Venezuela's Economy

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Author Info
Mark Weisbrot
Rebecca Ray

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Abstract

This paper looks at Venezuela’s export revenue, imports, and trade and current account balances under a range of oil price outcomes for the next two years. It finds that Venezuela would run large current account surpluses for prices between $60-90 per barrel, and would even run a small surplus with prices at $50 per barrel. (Most oil industry estimates for the next two years are in the range of $80-90 per barrel). The authors conclude that Venezuela is unlikely to run into foreign exchange constraints in the foreseeable future, and can pursue expansionary fiscal policies to counter any economic downturn.

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File URL: http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/venezuela_2008_11.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) in its series CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs with number 2008-30.

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Length: 11 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:epo:papers:2008-30

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Related research
Keywords: Venezuela; Venezuelan oil exports; Venezuelan government revenue;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
F - International Economics
F1 - International Economics - - Trade
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
O54 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
Q48 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Government Policy

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-14.

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