Teenage Pregnancy in Mexico: Evolution and Consequences
AbstractWe analyze the consequences of a teenage pregnancy event in the short- and long-run in Mexico. Using longitudinal and cross-section data, we match females who got pregnant and those that did not based on a propensity score. Several balancing tests and specifications indicate that the main assumptions to estimate the average treatment effect on the treated using a propensity score are satisfied. In the short-run, we find that a teenage pregnancy causes a decrease of 0.6-0.8 years of schooling, lower attendance to school, less hours of work and a higher marriage rate. At the household level, we do not find any effect in parental hours of work or income per capita. In the long-run, we find a loss in years of education of 1-1.2 and a higher probability of being married, but also higher probability of being separated or divorced. We also find that household income per capita is lower at least in the long-run.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos in its series Serie documentos de trabajo del Centro de Estudios Económicos with number 2012-03.
Date of creation: Jan 2012
Date of revision:
teenage; pregnancy; labor outcomes; propensity score; matching;
Other versions of this item:
- Arceo-Gómez, Eva Olimpia & Campos-Vázquez, Raymundo M., 2011. "Teenage Pregnancy in Mexico: Evolution and Consequences," MPRA Paper 44532, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Feb 2013.
- Eva O. Arceo-Gómez & Raymundo M. Campos-Vázquez, 2011. "Teenage Pregnacy in Mexico: Evolution and Consequences," Documentos de Trabajo DTE 516, CIDE, Division de Economia.
- I00 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - General - - - General
- J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
- J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- O54 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
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