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Market Integration Dynamics and Asymptotic Price Convergence in Distribution

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  • García-Hiernaux, A.
  • Guerrero, D.E.
  • McAleer, M.J.

Abstract

This paper analyzes the market integration process of nominal prices, develops a model to analyze market integration, and presents a test of increasing market integration. A distinction is made between the economic concepts of price conver- gence in mean and variance. When both types of convergence occur, prices are said to converge in distribution. We present concepts and definitions related to the market integration process, link these to price convergence in distribution, argue that the Law of One Price is not a sufficient condition for market integration, and present a test of price convergence in distribution. We apply our methodology to two different cases, namely the integration of: i) the inland grains market in 19th Century USA, and ii) the Eurozone long-term bonds market after the euro entered circulation.

Suggested Citation

  • García-Hiernaux, A. & Guerrero, D.E. & McAleer, M.J., 2015. "Market Integration Dynamics and Asymptotic Price Convergence in Distribution," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI2015-30, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:ems:eureir:79213
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    Cited by:

    1. Garcia-Hiernaux, Alfredo & Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T. & Guerrero, David E., 2023. "Eurozone prices: A tale of convergence and divergence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Zhao, Xin & Calvin, Katherine V. & Wise, Marshall A. & Iyer, Gokul, 2021. "The role of global agricultural market integration in multiregional economic modeling: Using hindcast experiments to validate an Armington model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-17.
    3. David Gray, 2021. "A simple measure of beta-convergence revisited," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 58(12), pages 2569-2583, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional and global markets; integration; asymptotic price convergence; mean; variance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • N70 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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