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R&D and Real Interest Rate in the US: Theory and Empirics

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Author Info
Constantine Alexandrakis ()

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Abstract

In this paper we investigate the relationship between the long-run real interest rate and the share of resources devoted to research in the US. In contrast to what is predicted by many R&D-based growth models we find the two to be positively correlated. We then calibrate a model with endogenous technological change and examine if it can produce a positive relationship between the two variables. Our results provide an appealing explanation for the observed low-frequency variations in the share of labor employed in R&D and the long-run real interest rate, and for the productivity slowdown.

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File URL: http://www.economics.emory.edu/Working_Papers/wp/alexandrakis_03_15_paper.pdf
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, Emory University (Atlanta) in its series Emory Economics with number 0315.

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Date of creation: Sep 2003
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Handle: RePEc:emo:wp2003:0315

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Web page: http://www.economics.emory.edu/Working_Papers/wp/
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  1. Adams, James D, 1990. "Fundamental Stocks of Knowledge and Productivity Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 673-702, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Martin Neil Baily & Robert J. Gordon, 1988. "The Productivity Slowdown, Measurement Issues, and the Explosion of Computer Power," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 19(1988-2), pages 347-432. [Downloadable!]
  3. Griliches, Zvi, 1994. "Productivity, R&D, and the Data Constraint," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(1), pages 1-23, March.
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  4. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 323-51, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Griliches, Zvi, 1988. "Productivity Puzzles and R&D: Another Nonexplanation," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 2(4), pages 9-21, Fall. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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