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How Well Does a Small Structural Model with Sticky Prices and Wages Fit Postwar U.S. Data?

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Author Info

  • Julien Matheron

    ()
    (Banque de France, DGEI-DIR-RECFIN)

  • Céline Poilly

    ()
    (THEMA, Department of Economics, Cergy-Pontoise University
    Banque de France, DGEI-DIR-RECFIN)

Abstract

In this paper, we ask whether a small structural model with sticky prices and wages, embedding various modelling devices designed to increase the degree of strategic complementarity between price-setters, can fit postwar US data. To answer this question, we resort to a two-step empirical evaluation of our model. In a first step, we estimate the model by minimizing the distance between theoretical autocovariances of key macroeconomic variables and their VAR-based empirical counterparts. In a second step, we resort to Watson's (1993) test [Measures of fit for calibrated models. Journal of Political Economy 101 (6), 1011--1041] to quantify the model's goodness-of-fit. Our main result is that the combination of sticky prices and sticky wages is central in order to obtain a good empirical fit. Our analysis also reveals that a model with only sticky wages is completely rejected by Watson's test while a model with only sticky prices is not overwhelmingly rejected.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise in its series THEMA Working Papers with number 2006-11.

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Date of creation: Apr 2006
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Handle: RePEc:ema:worpap:2006-11

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Keywords: Sticky prices; sticky wages; strategic complementarities; Watson's test;

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Cited by:
  1. Kevin X.D. Huang & Qinglai Meng, 2010. "Increasing Returns and Unsynchronized Wage Adjustment in Sunspot Models of the Business Cycle," Vanderbilt University Department of Economics Working Papers 1007, Vanderbilt University Department of Economics.
  2. Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2012. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in a New-Keynesian baseline model," Economics Working Papers 2012-08, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  3. Franke, Reiner & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2011. "Moment matching versus Bayesian estimation: Backward-looking behaviour in the new-Keynesian three-equations model," Economics Working Papers 2011,10, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.

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