Using panel data to partially identify HIV prevalence when HIV status is not missing at random
AbstractAlthough population-based surveys are now considered the "gold standard" for estimating HIV prevalence, they are usually plagued by problems of nonignorable non- response. This paper uses the partial identification approach to assess the uncertainty caused by missing HIV status due to unit and item nonresponse. We show how to exploit the availability of panel data and the absorbing nature of HIV infection to narrow the worst-case bounds without imposing assumptions on the missing-data mechanism. Applied to longitudinal data from rural Malawi, our approach results in a substantial reduction of the width of the worst-case bounds. We also use plausible instrumental variable and monotone instrumental variable restrictions to further narrow the bounds.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Einaudi Institute for Economic and Finance (EIEF) in its series EIEF Working Papers Series with number 1113.
Length: 39 pages
Date of creation: 2011
Date of revision: Aug 2011
Other versions of this item:
- Bruno Arpino & Elisabetta De Cao & Franco Peracchi, 2011. "Using panel data to partially identify HIV prevalence When HIV status is not missing at random," Working Papers 048, "Carlo F. Dondena" Centre for Research on Social Dynamics (DONDENA), Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi.
- NEP-AFR-2012-01-25 (Africa)
- NEP-ALL-2012-01-25 (All new papers)
- NEP-ECM-2012-01-25 (Econometrics)
- NEP-HEA-2012-01-25 (Health Economics)
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