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A comparison of reduced-form permit price models and their empirical performances

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  • Grüll, Georg
  • Taschini, Luca

Abstract

Equilibrium models have been proposed in literature with the aim of describing the evolution of the price of emission permits. This paper derives first a reducedform model from an equilibrium model and thereby explains how existing reducedform models are related to equilibrium models. Second, by means of calibration to historical data, it is shown how these reduced-form models perform in the current price-evolution framework also with respect to standard continuous time stochastic models.

Suggested Citation

  • Grüll, Georg & Taschini, Luca, 2010. "A comparison of reduced-form permit price models and their empirical performances," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37603, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:37603
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Pauline Barrieu & Max Fehr, 2014. "Market-Consistent Modeling for Cap-and-Trade Schemes and Application to Option Pricing," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 234-249, April.
    2. Barrieu, Pauline & Fehr, Max, 2011. "Integrated EUA and CER price modeling and application for spread option pricing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37576, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Pauline Barrieu & Max Fehr, 2011. "Integrated EUA and CER price modeling and application for spread option pricing," GRI Working Papers 40, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CO2 emission allowances; equilibrium model; model calibration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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