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The Development of the State Bond Market

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  • Ivanter Alexander
  • Peresetsky Anatoly

Abstract

In this paper we study relations between various segments of the Russian financial market (GKO market, currency market, interbank loans market and stock market). We pay special attention to the GKO market, which is remarkable for its volume and significance. We consider relations of the GKO market with currency (spot and forward) markets, stock market, and GKO futures market. It is shown that the interrelation between GKO market and stock market was growing over time. Therefore stock market returns can set up natural restrictions on the efforts made by the Central Bank with the purpose of decreasing GKO borrowing costs. The GKO nonzero risk premium was estimated as the costs of position hedging in the GKO futures market. The procedure used for estimating the risk premia may be useful for the governmental agencies as an instrument for estimating investors' expectations and, hence, future spot prices of any government debt obligations.

Suggested Citation

  • Ivanter Alexander & Peresetsky Anatoly, 1999. "The Development of the State Bond Market," EERC Working Paper Series 99-06e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:99-06e
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Richards, Anthony J., 1995. "Comovements in national stock market returns: Evidence of predictability, but not cointegration," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 631-654, December.
    2. Anatoly Peresetsky & Frans de Roon, 1997. "Risk premia in the ruble/dollar futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(2), pages 191-214, April.
    3. King, Mervyn & Sentana, Enrique & Wadhwani, Sushil, 1994. "Volatility and Links between National Stock Markets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(4), pages 901-933, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shkodinsky S. V. & Prodchenko I. A., 2015. "Modeling of Us Dollar to Euro Rate Dependence on USA GDP Dynamics," Modern Applied Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(8), pages 277-277, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial market(s); GKO; futures; stocks; risk premium; forwards; government bond market; currency market; futures market; stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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