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Dutch Disease and Azerbaijan Economy

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  • Hasanov Fakhri

Abstract

The study analyzed whether there are any symptoms of Dutch Disease in Azerbaijani economy during 2001-2007by employing testable hypotheses while carefully checks alternative explanations of observed consequences. The study concluded that there has not been “absolute de-industrialization”, but observed “relative de-industrialization” in the non-oil tradable sector and substantial expansion in the non-tradable sector. Government expenditures have created the “spending effect” and this effect has been more significant than the “resource movement effect”. There have been evidences of a rapid increase in average wage and high price in the non-tradable sector and therefore an appreciation of the real exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Hasanov Fakhri, 2011. "Dutch Disease and Azerbaijan Economy," EERC Working Paper Series 11/03e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:11/03e
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Lester C. Hunt & Ceyhun I. Mikayilov, 2016. "Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand in Azerbaijan Using Cointegration Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-31, December.
    2. Hasanov, Fakhri, 2012. "The impact of the real exchange rate on non-oil exports. Is there an asymmetric adjustment towards the equilibrium?," MPRA Paper 43728, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Khatai Aliyev & Altay Ismayilov & Ilkin Gasimov, 2019. "Modelling Elasticity of Non-Oil Tax Revenues to Oil Price Changes: is There U-Shaped Association? Evidence from Azerbaijan," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 67(3), pages 799-810.
    4. Yessengali Oskenbayev & Aziz Karimov, 2013. "Is Kazakhstan Vulnerable to Natural Resource Curse?," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2013-130, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Fakhri Hasanov & Jeyhun Mikayilov & Cihan Bulut & Elchin Suleymanov & Fuzuli Aliyev, 2017. "The Role of Oil Prices in Exchange Rate Movements: The CIS Oil Exporters," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-18, April.
    6. Nijat HUSEYNOV, 2017. "Approach to the Azerbaijan Economic Structure: Non-Oil Sector," North Economic Review, Technical University of Cluj Napoca, Department of Economics and Physics, vol. 1(1), pages 28-40, October.
    7. Oskenbayev, Yessengali & Yilmaz, Mesut & Abdulla, Kanat, 2013. "Resource concentration, institutional quality and the natural resource curse," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 254-270.
    8. Fakhri J. Hasanov & Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Sabuhi Yusifov & Khatai Aliyev & Samra Talishinskaya, 2019. "The role of social and physical infrastructure spending in tradable and non-tradable growth," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 13(1), March.
    9. Jeyhun I. Mikayilov & Marzio Galeotti & Fakhri J. Hasanov, 2018. "The Impact of Economic Growth on CO2 Emissions in Azerbaijan," IEFE Working Papers 102, IEFE, Center for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    10. Khatai Aliyev & Orkhan Nadirov, 2016. "How Fiscal Policy Affects Non-Oil Economic Performance in Azerbaijan?," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(3), pages 11-29, September.
    11. Khatai Aliyev & Ilkin Gasimov, 2018. "Fiscal policy implementation in Azerbaijan before, during and after the oil boom," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(1), March.
    12. Khatai Aliyev & Ceyhun Mikayilov, 2016. "Does the Budget Expenditure Composition Matter for Long-Run Economic Growth in a Resource Rich Country? Evidence from Azerbaijan," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 2(2), pages 147-168, June.
    13. Karimov, Aziz & Oskenbayev, Yessengali, 2013. "Is Kazakhstan Vulnerable to Natural Resource Curse?," WIDER Working Paper Series 130, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    14. Maria Stella Chiaruttini, 2014. "EU, Russia and the reshaping of the post-Soviet economic space: an international trade analysis," ERSA conference papers ersa14p764, European Regional Science Association.
    15. Grant Mark Nülle & Graham A. Davis, 2018. "Neither Dutch nor disease?—natural resource booms in theory and empirics," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(1), pages 35-59, May.
    16. Fakhri, Hasanov & Khudayar, Hasanli, 2011. "Why had the Money Market Approach been irrelevant in explaining inflation in Azerbaijan during the rapid economic growth period?," MPRA Paper 29559, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Eromenko, Igor, 2016. "Do Remittances Cause Dutch Disease in Resource Poor Countries of Central Asia?," MPRA Paper 74965, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Khatai Aliyev & Bruce Dehning & Orkhan Nadirov, 2016. "Modelling the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Non-Oil Gdp in a Resource Rich Country: Evidence from Azerbaijan," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 64(6), pages 1869-1878.
    19. Elchin Suleymanov & Elvin Alirzayev & Mammad Talibli, 2019. "Role of Economic Freedom in Attracting Investments in the Context of Azerbaijan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 87-95.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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