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Japan’s Economic Recovery: Insights from Multi-Region Dynamics

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  • Rod Tyers

    ()

  • Ying Zhang

    ()

Abstract

Despite its key contribution to global economic growth through the 1960s and 1970s, in recent decades the rise of China has seen the importance of Japan recede from the public discourse. This is notwithstanding its continuing key role as global investor and trading partner. Yet this role has been threatened by a tendency for its economy to stagnate since the 1990s and by the tragic earthquake of 2011, both of which have implications for global economic performance. This paper briefly reviews the many claimed sources of Japan's stagnation and then analyses the sources of recovery along with the implications of the 3-11 disaster, using a multi-region global dynamic model. Both demand and supply side determinants prove important though it is shown that a key future role will be played by the performance of Japan's services sector and of the industrial policies that affect it.

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File URL: http://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/pdf/working-papers/2011/182011.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University in its series CAMA Working Papers with number 2011-18.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2011-18

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