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Consistent HAC Estimation and Robust Regression Testing Using Sharp Origin Kernels with No Truncation

Author

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  • Sainan Jin
  • Peter Phillips
  • Yixiao Sun

Abstract

A new family of kernels is suggested for use in heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) and long run variance (LRV) estimation and robust regression testing. The kernels are constructed by taking powers of the Bartlett kernel and are intended to be used with no truncation (or bandwidth) parameter. The news kernels, called sharp origin kernels, can be used in regression testing in much the same way as conventional kernels with no truncation, as suggested in the work of Kiefer and Vogelsang. Analysis and simulations indicate that sharp origin kernels lead to tests with improved size properties relative to conventional tests and better power properties than other tests using Bartlett and other conventional kernels without truncation. If rho is passed to infinity with the sample size (T), the new kernels provide consistent HAC and LRV estimates as well as continued robust regression testing. Simulations show that in regression testing with the sharp origin kernel, the power properties are better than those with simple untruncated kernels (where rho =1) and at least as good as those with truncated kernels. Size is generally more accurate with sharp origin kernels than truncated kernels. In practice a simple fixed choice of the exponent parameter around rho=16 for the sharp origin kernel produces favorable results for both size and power in regression testing with sample sizes that are typical in econometric applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Sainan Jin & Peter Phillips & Yixiao Sun, 2004. "Consistent HAC Estimation and Robust Regression Testing Using Sharp Origin Kernels with No Truncation," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 299, Econometric Society.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:nawm04:299
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    Cited by:

    1. Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Variance targeting estimation of the BEKK-X model," MPRA Paper 75572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Smith, Richard J., 2005. "Automatic Positive Semidefinite Hac Covariance Matrix And Gmm Estimation," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 158-170, February.
    3. Harding, Don & Pagan, Adrian, 2006. "Synchronization of cycles," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(1), pages 59-79, May.
    4. Justin Doran & Bernard Fingleton, 2018. "US Metropolitan Area Resilience: Insights from dynamic spatial panel estimation," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 50(1), pages 111-132, February.
    5. Bernard Fingleton & Michelle Catherine Baddeley, 2011. "Globalisation And Wage Differentials: A Spatial Analysis," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 79(5), pages 1018-1034, September.
    6. João Valle e Azevedo & João Tovar Jalles, 2011. "Rational vs. Professional Forecasts," Working Papers w201114, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    7. Hansen, Christian B., 2007. "Asymptotic properties of a robust variance matrix estimator for panel data when T is large," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 597-620, December.
    8. Richard Smith, 2004. "Automatic positive semi-definite HAC covariance matrix and GMM estimation," CeMMAP working papers 17/04, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    9. Thieu, Le Quyen, 2016. "Equation by equation estimation of the semi-diagonal BEKK model with covariates," MPRA Paper 75582, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Jen-Je Su, 2005. "On the size and power of testing for no autocorrelation under weak assumptions," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 247-257.
    11. Surajit Ray & N. E. Savin, 2008. "The performance of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust tests: a Monte Carlo study with an application to the three-factor Fama-French asset-pricing model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 91-109.
    12. Peter C.B. Phillips & Yixiao Sun & Sainan Jin, 2005. "Improved HAR Inference," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1513, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consistent HAC estimation; data determined kernel estimation; long run variance; Mercer's theorem; power parameter; sharp origin kernel.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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